The question I’d like to pose this Martin Luther King Day weekend is: Are we likely to witness the end of racial preferences soon—not just in our lifetimes, not just within the twenty-five years that Justice O’Connor “expected” in 2003, but in the next, say, five to ten years?
I think there is a good chance that we will. But I’m a non-determinist, so nothing is inevitable. In other words, I think we’ll win, but I know that we can still lose.
There are different ways to think about this question, and different factors to consider.
Demographics, Law, Attraction, Vision
For instance, consider demographics. America is becoming increasingly multiethnic (which it has always been) and multiracial (which has been less common). It should be obvious that a legal regime based on sorting people according to race and national origin becomes
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